July's Market Report Overview

July's Market Report Overview

"Recovery loses steam." "Housing demand in a slump." "Tax credit leaves mess in its wake." We're bombarded with headlines like these every day. Some have merit, some don't. The truth is, the economy is now driving the housing market and not vice versa.

Pending Sales in the Beaufort region grew slightly by 1.3 percent from last July to arrive at 76.

New Listings dipped slightly by 3.6 percent since last July and overall inventory skyrocketed by 42.0 percent.

Median Sales Price dipped by 3.8 percent from last July to $179,900, and buyers were only willing to pay 88.6 percent of a seller's asking price. Market times were up by 22.7 percent over last year.

Months Supply of Inventory increased by 21.2 percent to 23.2 months, given current demand.

In summary, the housing market is trying to hold its ground until the job situation improves. Only after widespread, private-sector hiring will demand be restored to the market and prices continue to stabilize. Until then, it's a hurry up and wait game.

National Flood Insurance Program

Quite frankly, I thought the 3rd time would be the charm, but no.......... Once again Congress failed to extend the National Flood Insurance Program and again this has caused delays in closings. The National Flood Insurance Program provides federally backed and affordable flood insurance coverage for millions of homes and businesses nationwide. Here on the coast lender's require flood insurance as part of the loan, much like they would traditional homeowners insurance. By some estimates, this failure to extend the program has caused the delay of approximately 1400 properties daily across the country.

Until the program is reauthorized, buyers cannot obtain the insurance, however in some cases they are able to assume the seller's policy. So why am I writing about something negative in the real estate market? Quite frankly because we need help. It is certainly not news that the real estate market has suffered dramatically over the last several years and here in the second home market it is no different. Many people have asked me why we are suffering because the second home market is just another luxury of the rich. On more than one occasion I have heard something like "rich people will buy in any market". That's just not true.

Beyond the proclivities of the people with significant discretionary income, let's think about what these second and retirement homes mean in the broad picture. In my opinion, they are the basis for a big part of our economy and a source of livelihood for our middle class. Think of the carpenter doing the framing on the house, think of the irrigation company installing the system, think of the washers, dryers, refrigerators, tv's etc. being purchased and installed, think of the restaurants that are being patronized, think of the home improvement stores selling all manner of merchandise to a new home owner and the list goes on and on and that is precisely why we (those of us making our living in the housing market and the sellers trying to sell their homes)need this program to be reinstated.

On a daily basis, I read about how much Washington is doing to stimulate the housing market and for that I say thanks. I am not asking for a new stimulus, I am just asking to resuscitate a necessary program before it is too late, I'm just asking to not create problems. The housing market has taken many blows to the head and we keep getting up -- we have too,our nation's economy depends on it. If you agree with me that Congress shouldn't break for independence day without passing this, please contact either Jim DeMint or Lindsey Graham. If you go to their websites, you will be directed to fill out a form which is fine, however a think a better idea is to email their schedulers at alice_james@lgraham.senate.gov or julie_blackorby@demint.senate.gov. Thanks in advance.

Sales Trending Upward in 2010

Last week for the first time in quite a while, I didn’t cringe when I looked at our monthly numbers. In fact when I finished studying them I was down-right happy. I am by no means telling you that this challenging market is behind us but I am telling you that we are starting to crawl out of the darkness.

Our “closed sales” and our “pending home sales” are more than twice what they were year to date in ’09, additionally, our walk in traffic, phone ins and web site hits are also twice what they were YTD. Island Realty is still the leader east of Cowan Creek with both listing volume and closed sales and we are the dominant force on Fripp Island (43% market share), Harbor Island (30% market share) and Coosaw Point (58% market share).

Last year we did 70% of our business in the 2^nd half of 2009 and I was hopeful that the trend would continue and it has. The market continues to be demanding however and depending on what you read either the recession is behind us or soon to be over. The truth is no one can tell you for sure the exact moment that we are out of this until we are well past it. The statistics that I cited above give me great hope that we are either out from under the black cloud or soon to be and when that happens, I will be supremely happy, not happier than our buyers and sellers, but supremely happy nonetheless.

Locally, both inventory and prices are starting to stabilize. Although lending is still tight, those with good credit can still get loans. Additionally those who are able to obtain financing are snapping up property at bargain prices which is a win / win. The buyers get almost instant equity and we as neighbors and home owners get a reduction in inventory supply, which helps prices stabilize, which is critical to returning to a normal market. Indeed a win / win.

So what does my crystal ball say? Quite frankly the volatility of the market over the last two years has shattered my crystal ball. The last two years have been the toughest of my career and I was licensed in 1995. The market did strange and weird things. Banks did even stranger things on short sales and foreclosures, the stock market did strange things as well.

Truly though, I believe there is real evidence of improving conditions in many respects. Employment is improving, retail spending is improving and auto sales are up (I personally participated in boosting the auto sales). Even the most pessimistic of forecasters noted that jobs and housing would need to turn before we should feel like we are back on track. I can tell you that we at Island Realty are doing our part to keep the housing component on track, no small task, but we are doing our part. Another win / win.

What are you thinking SC?

To: The Leadership of South Carolina:

Hello South Carolina government, what are you thinking?

An amendment was introduced by Representative Ted Vick, of District 53 - Chesterfield County, which would have established a new statewide property tax for homes valued at over $250,000. The amendment was debated at length and failed very early Thursday morning. Representative Gilda Cobb-Hunter introduced and ultimately withdrew an amendment that would have repealed the 2006 changes to the property tax structure known as Act 388.

My question is, how much more can the real estate market take? In our area, we are starting to see glimmers of recovery and a new tax on homes at $250k + would definitely hinder sales so thank heaven that was defeated. Why is it that the state & it’s officials, particularly in areas away from the coast, view real estate and the potential tax as such a cash cow?

In any event, I bought my home on Fripp Island in 2004 for a vacation getaway and moved here full time in January 2007. Please note that this was after a 3 year search of 2^nd home communities and I looked at numerous coastal communities between Virginia Beach, VA and Jacksonville, FL. There were many criteria in my home search but please note that the state governments and their treatment of property owners was an important factor in my decision.

Please, let’s not lose sight of the fact that the second home & retirement home market is an integral part of our state’s economy and the people that are our potential buyers have lots of alternatives to SC. The greed or tax lust that I keep reading about will ultimately harm us all I am afraid. Please urge our legislature to continue to do everything possible to straighten out the ludicrous “point of sale” tax. Oh and thank you for squashing the tax on homes over $250k.